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Hidetoshi KIMURA Kenichi MASE Yuji OIE Shinji SAKANO Masahiro TAKA Miki YAMAMOTO Yohtaro YATSUZUKA
Hidetoshi KIMURA Tetsuya MIKI Yuji INOUE Yasushi WAKAHARA Koso MURAKAMI Chihaya TANAKA
Hisao OIKAWA Takao YAMAZAKI Hidetoshi KIMURA
Estimating the macroscopic demand for telephones is essential to long-term planning construction of telecommunication networks facilities. Although there are several useful forecast equations, they need some types and/or vast amounts of data that are sometimes unavailable, especially in developing countries. This paper presents a sophisticated telephone demand estimation technique that is based on the demands of residential and business users. It uses several parameters to estimate the increase in telephone demand. A simplified equation is also presented that is a function of only one parameter: normalized gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. This simplified equation is shown to be useful by using data for more than ten countries.