Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper considers an availability analysis and an optimal inventory problem for a repairable 1-out-ofN:G system assuming an ordering policy of (s, s+1) type. The system consists of N identical subsystems which constitute 1-out-ofN:G, and each subsystem is a m units series system. Since the system is repairable, the exact evaluation of the system availability is extremely difficult. In this paper, the system availability is obtained by an approximation analysis. The results are reasonably accurate and are much easier than the exact evaluation. Then the optimal inventory problem is discussed. The numerical example shows that the solution is obtained relatively easily when the system consists of highly reliable units.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper considers a fleet system which consists of n equipments. The system is operated intermittently repeating a system operation period and a system standby period alternatively. In each system operation period, any c of n equipments are required to operate. Each equipment undergoes overhaul (O/H) after prespecified periods (or numbers) of operation. We obtain the availability of the system assuming the following disciplines for the O/H interval and the failure probability. The O/H interval is scheduled by calendar time (Case 1) or actual operating time (Case 2). The failure probability of an equipment is constant in each operation (Model 1) or depends on the number of operations after O/H (Model 2). This analysis aims at the determination of the rational O/H interval and the number of the equipments in the system. Also it can be applied to the problem of spares provisioning for a system with O/H.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
Determination of spare quantity assuming a general failure distribution is discussed. A new method is presented which is an extension of a usual normal approximation method. The original method is essentially a Normal distribution approximation" to a Poisson process of failure occurrence. On the other hand, the new method assumes a general failure distribution. The mean and the variance of the number of failures within for a given period of time are necessary for determining the spare quantity. The mean is obtained in a simple form. The variance is give as a solution of an integral equation. The solution of this equation for a general case is obtained by applying a discrete approximation technique. Some numerical examples are provided to discuss the difference between when assuming a general failure distribution and when assuming the exponential failure distribution.
Tomohiro KITAGAWA Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
The maintenance of a system on a ship has limitations when the ship is engaged in a voyage because of limited maintenance resources. When a system fails, it is either repaired instantly on ship with probability p or remains unrepaired during the voyage with probability 1-p owing to the lack of maintenance resources. In the latter case, the system is repaired after the voyage. We propose two management policies for the overhaul interval of an IFR system: one manages the overhaul interval by number of voyages and the other manages it by the total voyage time. Our goal is to determine the optimal policy that ensures the required availability of the system and minimizes the expected cost rate.
Tetsushi YUGE Masafumi SASAKI Shigeru YANAGI
This paper presents two approaches for computing the reliability of complex networks subject to two kinds of failure, open failure and shorted failure. The reliabilities of some series-parallel networks are considered by many analysts. However a practical system is more complex. The methods given in this paper can be applied not only to a series-parallel network but also to a non-series-parallel network which is composed of non-identical and independent components subject to two kinds of failure. This paper also deals with a network subject to flow quantity constraint such as the one which is required to control j or more separate paths. For such a system it is difficult to obtain system reliability because the number of states to be considered in this system is extremely large compared to a conventional 2-state device system. In this paper we obtain the reliabilities for such systems by a combinatorial approach and by a simulation approach.
Tetsushi YUGE Masaharu DEHARE Shigeru YANAGI
An exact and an approximated reliabilities of a 2-dimensional consecutive k-out-of-n:F system are discussed. Although analysis to obtain exact reliability requires many calculation resources for a system with a large number of components, the proposed method obtains the reliability lower bound by using a combinatorial equation that does not depend on the system size. The method has an assumption on the maximum number of failed components in an operable system. The reliability is exact when the total number of failed components is less than the assumed maximum number. The accuracy of the method is confirmed by numerical examples.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper considers a repair system which includes several repair stations, many user sites and a great many identical equipments operated in these sites. The means and the variances of the numbers of the equipments in these user sites and repair stations are obtained using an approximation method. The proposed repair model is applicable to a complex repair system such as a multi-echelon repair system.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper considers a two-unit warm standby redundant system. Preventive maintenance (PM) for an active unit is scheduled after a certain period. When an active unit fails or undergoes PM while the other is in standby, the operation is switched to the standby unit. Probability of success in switchover is constant. If the system fails in switchover, the system stops the operation, and resumes it after a certain time. MTTFF, MTBF and steady state availability are obtained. Numerical examples show the effects of PM interval on them.
Tetsushi YUGE Toshio HARA Shigeru YANAGI Ferenc SZIDAROVSZKY
This paper presents two man-machine reliability models. A system consists of one machine unit, one operator, and one event detecting monitor. The machine unit has three states, normal, abnormal, and failed. The event detecting monitor may fail in two ways. If a machine unit becomes abnormal, the event detecting monitor sends a signal, and the operator takes necessary actions. If the operator fails in the action in the cause of human error, the machine unit goes down. The condition of the operator is classified into two types, good and bad. The time to repair, and the human error rate both depend on the condition of the operator. The MTTF is obtained by using a Markov model and numerical computation. Furthermore, the optimal operating period which minimizes the overall cost is decided by using computer methods. Some numerical examples are shown.
Nobuyuki TAMURA Daiki MURAOKA Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
This paper considers a two-echelon repair model where several series systems comprising multiple items are operated in each base. We propose a basic model and two modified models. For two models, approximation methods are developed to derive the system availability. The difference between the basic model and the first modified model is whether the normal items in failed series systems are available as spare or not. The second modified model relaxes the assumptions of the first modified model to reflect more realistic situation. We perform numerical analysis for the models to compare their system availabilities and verify the accuracy of the approximation methods.
Naoki OKUDA Nobuyuki TAMURA Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
In this paper, we study on an availability analysis for a multibase system with lateral resupply of spare items between bases. We construct a basic model that a spare item of a base is transported for operation to another base without spare upon occurrence of failure, and simultaneously, the base that supplies the spare item receives the failed item of the other base for repair. We propose an approximation method to obtain the availability of the system and show the accuracy of the solution through numerical experiments. Also, two modified models are constructed to show the efficiency of the basic model. The two models modify the assumption on the lateral resupply of spare items between bases in the basic model. We numerically illustrate that the basic model can increase the availability of the system compared with the two modified models through Monte Carlo simulation.
Yosuke AIZU Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
We propose a reality-based model of a two-echelon repair system with “priority resupply” and present a method for analyzing the availability of the system operated in each base. The two echelon repair system considered in our model consists of one repair station, called depot, and several bases. In each base, n items which constitute a k-out-of-n: G system, called k/n system, are operated. Each item has two failure modes, failures repaired at a base (level 1) and failures repaired at the depot (level 2). When a level 2 failure occurs in a base, either a normal order or an emergency order of a spare item is issued depending on the number of operating items in the base. The spare item in the depot is sent preferentially to the base where the emergency order is placed. We propose two models, both including priority resupply. Firstly, we propose an approximation method for analyzing the basic model where a k/n system is operated in a base. Using a simulation method, we verify the accuracy of our approximation method. Secondly, we expand the basic model to a dual k/n system where the items of the system are interchangeable between two k/n systems in the case of an emergency, which is called “cannibalization”. Then, we show a numerical example and discuss the optimal timing for placing an emergency order.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper considers a multi-base single repair station problem which is a reliability analysis for a system with a large number of equipments operated in their own bases and some repairmen in the repair station. In this problem, all the failed equipments are repaired in the repair station and are sent back to their own bases after completions of repair. The mean and the variance of the number of operative equipments in each base are obtained by a diffusion approximation method. Numerical examples of an approximation solution and a simulation solution are presented.
Masafumi SASAKI Naohiko YAMAGUCHI Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) is an important measure of practical repairable systems, but it has not been obtained for a repairable linear consecutive-k-out-of-n: F system. We first present a general formula for the (steady-state) availability of a repairable linear consecutive-k-out-of-n: F system with nonidentical components by employing the cut set approach or a topological availability method. Second, we present a general formula for frequency of system failures of a repairable linear consecutive-k-out-of-n: F system with nonidentical components. Then the MTBF for the repairable linear consecutive-k-out-of-n: F system is shown by using the frequency of system failure and availability. Lastly, we derive some figures which show the relationship between the MTBF and repair rate µorρ(=λ/µ) in the repairable linear consecutive-k-out-of-n: F system. The figures can be easily used and are useful for reliability design.
In this paper we discuss the system failure probability of a k-out-of-n system considering common-cause failures. The conventional implicit technique is first introduced. Then the failure probabilities are formulated when the independence between common-cause failure events is assumed. We also provide algorithms to enumerate all the cut sets and the minimal cut sets, and to calculate the system failure probability. These methods are extendable to the case of systems with non-identical components. We verify the effectiveness of our method by comparison with the exact solution obtained by numerical calculation.
Tomohiro KITAGAWA Tetsushi YUGE Shigeru YANAGI
A one-shot system is a system that can be used only once during its life, and whose failures are detected only through inspections. In this paper, we discuss an inspection policy problem of one-shot system composed of multi-unit in series. Failed units are minimally repaired when failures are detected and all units in the system are replaced when the nth failure is detected after the last replacement. We derive the expected cost rate approximately. Our goal is to determine the optimal inspection policy that minimizes the expected cost rate.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
This paper presents an approximation method for deriving the availability of a parallel redundant system with preventive maintenance (PM) and common-cause failures. The system discussed is composed of two identical units. A single service facility is available for PM and repair. The repair times, the PM times and the failure times except for common-cause failures are all assumed to be arbitrarily distributed. The presented method formulates the problem of the availability analysis of a parallel redundant system as a Markov renewal process which represents the state transitions of one specified unit in the system. This method derives the availability easily and accurately. Further, the availability obtained by this method is exact in a special case.
Shigeru YANAGI Masafumi SASAKI
A new method to obtain the availability of a cold standby series system with spare units is presented. Two models are considered. The first one is a series system with spare units. The other is m series systems with common spare units. The availabilities are solutions of nonlinear simultaneous equations and are obtained numerically.
Tetsushi YUGE Masaharu DEHARE Shigeru YANAGI
A lattice system in this paper is a system whose components are ordered like the elements of (m, n) matrix. A representative example of a lattice system is a connected-(r, s)-out-of-(m, n):F lattice system which is treated as a model of supervision system. It fails if and only if all components in an (r, s) sub lattice fail. We modify the lattice system so as to include a maintenance action and a restriction on the number of failed components. Then, this paper presents availability and MTBF of the repairable system, and reliability when the system stocks spare parts on hand to ensure the specified reliability level.