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[Author] Takeshi KURASHIMA(2hit)

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  • Marked Temporal Point Processes for Trip Demand Prediction in Bike Sharing Systems

    Maya OKAWA  Yusuke TANAKA  Takeshi KURASHIMA  Hiroyuki TODA  Tomohiro YAMADA  

     
    PAPER-Business Support

      Pubricized:
    2019/06/17
      Vol:
    E102-D No:9
      Page(s):
    1635-1643

    With the acceptance of social sharing, public bike sharing services have become popular worldwide. One of the most important tasks in operating a bike sharing system is managing the bike supply at each station to avoid either running out of bicycles or docks to park them. This requires the system operator to redistribute bicycles from overcrowded stations to under-supplied ones. Trip demand prediction plays a crucial role in improving redistribution strategies. Predicting trip demand is a highly challenging problem because it is influenced by multiple levels of factors, both environmental and individual, e.g., weather and user characteristics. Although several existing studies successfully address either of them in isolation, no framework exists that can consider all factors simultaneously. This paper starts by analyzing trip data from real-world bike-sharing systems. The analysis reveals the interplay of the multiple levels of the factors. Based on the analysis results, we develop a novel form of the point process; it jointly incorporates multiple levels of factors to predict trip demand, i.e., predicting the pick-up and drop-off levels in the future and when over-demand is likely to occur. Our extensive experiments on real-world bike sharing systems demonstrate the superiority of our trip demand prediction method over five existing methods.

  • Classifying Near-Miss Traffic Incidents through Video, Sensor, and Object Features

    Shuhei YAMAMOTO  Takeshi KURASHIMA  Hiroyuki TODA  

     
    PAPER-Artificial Intelligence, Data Mining

      Pubricized:
    2021/11/01
      Vol:
    E105-D No:2
      Page(s):
    377-386

    Front video and sensor data captured by vehicle-mounted event recorders are used for not only traffic accident evidence but also safe-driving education as near-miss traffic incident data. However, most event recorder (ER) data shows only regular driving events. To utilize near-miss data for safe-driving education, we need to be able to easily and rapidly locate the appropriate data from large amounts of ER data through labels attached to the scenes/events of interest. This paper proposes a method that can automatically identify near-misses with objects such as pedestrians and bicycles by processing the ER data. The proposed method extracts two deep feature representations that consider car status and the environment surrounding the car. The first feature representation is generated by considering the temporal transitions of car status. The second one can extract the positional relationship between the car and surrounding objects by processing object detection results. Experiments on actual ER data demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately identify and tag near-miss events.