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[Keyword] prediction problem(1hit)

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  • A Stochastic Signal Processing in the Traffic Noise Prediction Problem with the Nonstationarity of Headway Distribution

    Mitsuo OHTA  Kiminobu NISHIMURA  Kazutatsu HATAKEYAMA  

     
    PAPER

      Vol:
    E75-A No:8
      Page(s):
    996-1003

    A ner trial of statistical evaluation for a nonstationary traffic flow and its traffic noise is proposed as a prediction method of its probability distribution function by considering the temporal change of distribution parameters especially from a structural viewpoint. First, a headway distribution of the nonstationary traffic flow passing through within a road segment is proposed on the basis of an Erlang distribution by reflecting a temporal change of its distribution parameters. Then, an initial phase density concerning with asynchronous counting method and the probability of counting n cars over a long time interval are derived from the above nonstationary expression of headway distribution. Thus, the statistics of noise intensity at an observation point has been predicted by combining the above probabilistic factors and deterministic factors related to noise propagation environment with use of a compound stochastic process model. Finally, te effectivenss of the proposed theory has been confirmed experimentally by applying it to the actual traffic flow on a highway.