Emerging data-intensive services in distribution grid impose requirements of high-concurrency access for massive internet of things (IoT) devices. However, the lack of effective high-concurrency access management results in severe performance degradation. To address this challenge, we propose a cloud-edge-device collaborative high-concurrency access management algorithm based on multi-timescale joint optimization of channel pre-allocation and load balancing degree. We formulate an optimization problem to minimize the weighted sum of edge-cloud load balancing degree and queuing delay under the constraint of access success rate. The problem is decomposed into a large-timescale channel pre-allocation subproblem solved by the device-edge collaborative access priority scoring mechanism, and a small-timescale data access control subproblem solved by the discounted empirical matching mechanism (DEM) with the perception of high-concurrency number and queue backlog. Particularly, information uncertainty caused by externalities is tackled by exploiting discounted empirical performance which accurately captures the performance influence of historical time points on present preference value. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in reducing edge-cloud load balancing degree and queuing delay.

The presence of the complex scaling behavior in network traffic makes accurate traffic prediction a challenging task. Some conventional prediction tools such as the recursive least square method are not appropriate for network traffic prediction. In this paper we propose a timescale decomposition approach to real time traffic prediction. The raw traffic data is first decomposed into multiple timescales using the à trous Haar wavelet transform. The wavelet coefficients and the scaling coefficients at each scale are predicted independently using the ARIMA model. The predicted wavelet coefficients and scaling coefficient are then combined to give the predicted traffic value. This timescale decomposition approach can better capture the correlation structure of the traffic caused by different network mechanisms, which may not be obvious when examining the raw data directly. The proposed prediction algorithm is applied to real network traffic. It is shown that the proposed algorithm outperforms traffic prediction algorithms in the literature and gives more accurate results.