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A Novel Method for Lightning Prediction by Direct Electric Field Measurements at the Ground Using Recurrent Neural Network

Masamoto FUKAWA, Xiaoqi DENG, Shinya IMAI, Taiga HORIGUCHI, Ryo ONO, Ikumi RACHI, Sihan A, Kazuma SHINOMURA, Shunsuke NIWA, Takeshi KUDO, Hiroyuki ITO, Hitoshi WAKABAYASHI, Yoshihiro MIYAKE, Atsushi HORI

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Summary :

A method to predict lightning by machine learning analysis of atmospheric electric fields is proposed for the first time. In this study, we calculated an anomaly score with long short-term memory (LSTM), a recurrent neural network analysis method, using electric field data recorded every second on the ground. The threshold value of the anomaly score was defined, and a lightning alarm at the observation point was issued or canceled. Using this method, it was confirmed that 88.9% of lightning occurred while alarming. These results suggest that a lightning prediction system with an electric field sensor and machine learning can be developed in the future.

Publication
IEICE TRANSACTIONS on Information Vol.E105-D No.9 pp.1624-1628
Publication Date
2022/09/01
Publicized
2022/06/08
Online ISSN
1745-1361
DOI
10.1587/transinf.2022EDL8026
Type of Manuscript
LETTER
Category
Artificial Intelligence, Data Mining

Authors

Masamoto FUKAWA
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Xiaoqi DENG
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Shinya IMAI
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Taiga HORIGUCHI
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Ryo ONO
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Ikumi RACHI
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Sihan A
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Kazuma SHINOMURA
  OTOWA ELECTRIC CO, LTD.
Shunsuke NIWA
  OTOWA ELECTRIC CO, LTD.
Takeshi KUDO
  OTOWA ELECTRIC CO, LTD.
Hiroyuki ITO
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Hitoshi WAKABAYASHI
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Yoshihiro MIYAKE
  Tokyo Institute of Technology
Atsushi HORI
  Tokyo Institute of Technology

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