Forecasting time-series data is useful in many fields, such as stock price predicting system, autonomous driving system, weather forecast, etc. Many existing forecasting models tend to work well when forecasting short-sequence time series. However, when working with long sequence time series, the performance suffers significantly. Recently, there has been more intense research in this direction, and Informer is currently the most efficient predicting model. Informer’s main drawback is that it does not allow for incremental learning. In this paper, we propose a Fast Informer called Finformer, which addresses the above bottleneck by reducing the training/predicting time of Informer. Finformer can efficiently compute the positional/temporal/value embedding and Query/Key/Value of the self-attention incrementally. Theoretically, Finformer can improve the speed of both training and predicting over the state-of-the-art model Informer. Extensive experiments show that Finformer is about 26% faster than Informer for both short and long sequence time series prediction. In addition, Finformer is about 20% faster than InTrans for the general Conv1d, which is one of our previous works and is the predecessor of Finformer.

Solar power is the most widely used renewable energy source, which reduces pollution consequences from using conventional fossil fuels. However, supplying stable power from solar power generation remains challenging because it is difficult to forecast power generation. Accurate prediction of solar power generation would allow effective control of the amount of electricity stored in batteries, leading in a stable supply of electricity. Although the number of power plants is increasing, building a solar power prediction model for a newly constructed power plant usually requires collecting a new training dataset for the new power plant, which takes time to collect a sufficient amount of data. This paper aims to develop a highly accurate solar power prediction model for multiple power plants available for both new and existing power plants. The proposed method trains the model on existing multiple power plants to generate a general prediction model, and then uses it for a new power plant while waiting for the data to be collected. In addition, the proposed method tunes the general prediction model on the newly collected dataset and improves the accuracy for the new power plant. We evaluated the proposed method on 55 power plants in Japan with the dataset collected for two and a half years. As a result, the pre-trained models of our proposed method significantly reduces the average RMSE of the baseline method by 73.19%. This indicates that the model can generalize over multiple power plants, and training using datasets from other power plants is effective in reducing the RMSE. Fine-tuning the pre-trained model further reduces the RMSE by 8.12%.