Throughput prediction is one of the promising techniques to improve the quality of service (QoS) and quality of experience (QoE) of mobile applications. To address the problem of predicting future throughput distribution accurately during the whole session, which can exhibit large throughput fluctuations in different scenarios (especially scenarios of moving user), we propose a history-based throughput prediction method that utilizes time series analysis and machine learning techniques for mobile network communication. This method is called the Hybrid Prediction with the Autoregressive Model and Hidden Markov Model (HOAH). Different from existing methods, HOAH uses Support Vector Machine (SVM) to classify the throughput transition into two classes, and predicts the transmission control protocol (TCP) throughput by switching between the Autoregressive Model (AR Model) and the Gaussian Mixture Model-Hidden Markov Model (GMM-HMM). We conduct field experiments to evaluate the proposed method in seven different scenarios. The results show that HOAH can predict future throughput effectively and decreases the prediction error by a maximum of 55.95% compared with other methods.

A method for efficiently estimating the time-varying spectra of nonstationary autoregressive (AR) signals is derived using an indefinite matrix-based sliding window fast linear prediction (ISWFLP). In the linear prediction, the indefinite matrix plays a very important role in sliding an exponentially weighted finite-length window over the prediction error samples. The resulting ISWFLP algorithm successively estimates the time-varying AR parameters of order N at a computational complexity of O(N) per sample. The performance of the AR parameter estimation is superior to the performances of the conventional techniques, including the Yule-Walker, covariance, and Burg methods. Consequently, the ISWFLP-based AR spectral estimation method is able to rapidly track variations in the frequency components with a high resolution and at a low computational cost. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by the spectral analysis results of a sinusoidal signal and a speech signal.

The purpose of the study is to obtain the automatic and optimal matching between a motion-measurement device such as a data glove and an output device such as a dexterous robot hand, where there are many differences in the numbers of degree of freedom, sensor and actuator positions, and data format, by means of motion imitation by the humans. Through the algorithm proposed here, a system engineer or user need no labor of determining the values of gains and parameters to be used. In the system, a subject with data glove imitated the same motion with a dexterous robot hand which was moving according to a certain mathematical function. Autoregressive models were adapted to the matching, where each joint angle in the robot and data glove data of the human were used as object and explanatory variables respectively. The partial regression coefficients were estimated by means of singular value decomposition with a system-noise reduction algorithm utilizing statistical properties. The experimental results showed that the robot hand was controlled with high accuracy with small delay, suggesting that the method proposed in this study is proper and easy way and is adaptive to many other systems between a pair of motion-measurement device and output device.

Recently there has been increased attention to the causality among biomedical signals. The causality between brain structures involved in the generation of alpha activity is examined based on EEG signals acquired simultaneously in the frontal and occipital regions of the scalp. The concept of directed coherence (DC) is introduced as a means of resolving two-signal observations into the constituent components of original signals, the interaction between signals and the influence of one signal source on the other, through autoregressive modeling. The technique was applied to EEG recorded from 11 normal subjects with eyes closed. Through an analysis of the directed coherence, it was found that in both the left and right hemispheres, alpha rhythms with relatively low frequency had a significantly higher correlation in the frontal-occipital direction than in the opposite direction. In the upper alpha frequency band, a significantly higher DC was observed in the occipital-frontal direction, and the right-left DC in the occipital area was consistently higher. The activity of rhythms near 10 Hz was widespread. These results suggest that there is a difference in the genesis and the structure of information transmission in the lower and upper band, and for 10-Hz alpha waves.