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IEICE TRANSACTIONS on Communications

HOAH: A Hybrid TCP Throughput Prediction with Autoregressive Model and Hidden Markov Model for Mobile Networks

Bo WEI, Kenji KANAI, Wataru KAWAKAMI, Jiro KATTO

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Summary :

Throughput prediction is one of the promising techniques to improve the quality of service (QoS) and quality of experience (QoE) of mobile applications. To address the problem of predicting future throughput distribution accurately during the whole session, which can exhibit large throughput fluctuations in different scenarios (especially scenarios of moving user), we propose a history-based throughput prediction method that utilizes time series analysis and machine learning techniques for mobile network communication. This method is called the Hybrid Prediction with the Autoregressive Model and Hidden Markov Model (HOAH). Different from existing methods, HOAH uses Support Vector Machine (SVM) to classify the throughput transition into two classes, and predicts the transmission control protocol (TCP) throughput by switching between the Autoregressive Model (AR Model) and the Gaussian Mixture Model-Hidden Markov Model (GMM-HMM). We conduct field experiments to evaluate the proposed method in seven different scenarios. The results show that HOAH can predict future throughput effectively and decreases the prediction error by a maximum of 55.95% compared with other methods.

Publication
IEICE TRANSACTIONS on Communications Vol.E101-B No.7 pp.1612-1624
Publication Date
2018/07/01
Publicized
2018/01/22
Online ISSN
1745-1345
DOI
10.1587/transcom.2017CQP0007
Type of Manuscript
Special Section PAPER (Special Section on Communication Quality in Wireless Networks)
Category

Authors

Bo WEI
  Waseda University
Kenji KANAI
  Waseda University
Wataru KAWAKAMI
  Waseda University
Jiro KATTO
  Waseda University

Keyword