A surrogate-based electromagnetic (EM) optimization using neural networks (NNs) is presented for computationally efficient microwave bandpass filter (BPF) design. This paper first describes the forward problem (EM analysis) and the inverse problems (EM design), and the two fundamental issues in BPF designs. The first issue is that the EM analysis is a time-consuming task, and the second one is that EM design highly depends on the structural optimization performed with the help of EM analysis. To accelerate the optimization design, two surrogate models of forward and inverse models are introduced here, which are built with the NNs. As a result, the inverse model can instantaneously guess initial structural parameters with high accuracy by simply inputting synthesized coupling-matrix elements into the NN. Then, the forward model in conjunction with optimization algorithm enables designers to rapidly find optimal structural parameters from the initial ones. The effectiveness of the surrogate-based EM optimization is verified through the structural designs of a typical fifth-order microstrip BPF with multiple couplings.

Recently, the necessity of interconnection between wired Grid and wireless networks has grown up. In wireless Grid, an efficient resource management is essential in order to solve the problem of unreliability caused by intermittency of wireless since mission-critical service like e-Health is expected to be a main application in wireless Grid. In this letter, we consider replica management to provide a reliable resource management and computing, and propose Surrogate integrated PQRM (S-PQRM) architecture with cost adaptive replica management scheme. Through the theoretical analysis and simulation, we show a reliable and cost adaptive replica management scheme in aspects of reliability and cost performance within budget-constrained application.

Using daily infection data for Hong Kong we explore the validity of a variety of models of disease propagation when applied to the SARS epidemic. Surrogate data methods show that simple random models are insufficient and that the standard epidemic susceptible-infected-removed model does not fully account for the underlying variability in the observed data. As an alternative, we consider a more complex small world network model and show that such a structure can be applied to reliably produce simulations quantitative similar to the true data. The small world network model not only captures the apparently random fluctuation in the reported data, but can also reproduce mini-outbreaks such as those caused by so-called "super-spreaders" and in the Hong Kong housing estate of Amoy Gardens.

It is now known that a seemingly random irregular time series can be deterministic chaos (hereafter, chaos). However, there can be various kind of noise superimposed into signals from real systems. Other factors affecting a signal include sampling intervals and finite length of observation. Perhaps, there may be cases in which a chaotic time series is considered as noise. J. Theiler proposed a method of surrogating data to address these problems. The proposed method is one of a number of approaches for testing a statistical hypothesis. The method can identify the deterministic characteristics of a time series. In this approach, a surrogate data is formed to have stochastic characteristics with the statistic value associated with the original data. When the characteristics of the original data differs from that of a surrogate data, the null hypothesis is no longer valid. In other words, the original data is deterministic. In comparing the characteristics of an original time series data and that of a surrogate data, the maximum Lyapunov exponents, correlation dimensions and prediction accuracy are utilized. These techniques, however, can not calculate the structure in local subspaces on the attractor and the flow of trajectories. In deal with these issues, we propose the trajectory parallel measure (TPM) method to determine whether the null hypothesis should be rejected. In this paper, we apply the TPM method and the method of surrogate data to test a chaotic time series and a random time series. We also examine whether a practical time series has a deterministic property or not. The results demonstrate that the TPM method is useful for judging whether the original and the surrogate data sets are different. For illustration, the TPM method is applied to a practical time series, tap water demand data.

In this paper, we propose a new strategy of estimating correlation dimensions in combination with the method of surrogate data, which is a kind of statistical control usually introduced to avoid spurious estimates of nonlinear statistics, such as fractal dimensions, Lyapunov exponents and so on. In the case of analyzing time series with the method of surrogate data, it is desirable to decide values of estimated nonlinear statistics of the original data and surrogate data sets as exactly as possible. However, when dimensional analysis is applied to possible attractors reconstructed from real time series, it is very dangerous to decide a single value as the estimated dimensions and desirable to analyze its scaling property for avoiding spurious estimates. In order to solve this defficulty, a dimension estimator algorithm and the method of surrogate data are combined by introducing Monte Carlo hypothesis testing. In order to show effectiveness of the new strategy, firstly artificial time series are analyzed, such as the Henon map with additive noise, filtered random numbers and filtered random numbers transformed by a static monotonic nonlinearity, and then experimental time series are also examined, such as wolfer's sunspot numbers and the fluctuations in a farinfrared laser data.