Prediction of seasonal infectious disease spread is traditionally dealt with as a function of time. Typical methods are time series analysis such as ARIMA (autoregressive, integrated, and moving average) or ANN (artificial neural networks). However, if we regard the time series data as the matrix form, e.g., consisting of yearly magnitude in row and weekly trend in column, we may expect to use a different method (matrix approach) to predict the disease spread when seasonality is dominant. The MD (matrix decomposition) method is the one method which is used in recommendation systems. The other is the IRT (item response theory) used in ability evaluation systems. In this paper, we apply these two methods to predict the disease spread in the case of infectious gastroenteritis caused by norovirus in Japan, and compare the results obtained by using two conventional methods in forecasting, ARIMA and ANN. We have found that the matrix approach is simple and useful in prediction for the seasonal infectious disease spread.

A connected-(r,s)-out-of-(m,n): F system is a kind of the connected-X-out-of-(m,n): F system defined by Boehme et al. [2]. A connected-(r,s)-out-of-(m,n): F system consists of m×n components arranged in (m,n)-matrix. This system fails if and only if there exists a grid of size r×s in which all components are failed. When m=r, this system can be regarded as a consecutive-s-out-of-n: F system, and then the optimal arrangement of this system satisfies theorem which stated by Malon [9] in the case of s=2. In this study, we proposed a new algorithm for obtaining optimal arrangement of the connected-(r,2)-out-of-(m,n): F system based on the above mentioned idea. We performed numerical experiments in order to compare the proposed algorithm with the algorithm of enumeration method, and calculated the order of the computation time of these two algorithms. The numerical experiments showed that the proposed algorithm was more efficiently than the algorithm of enumeration method.

A new modeling approach for the non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NHPPs) based software reliability modeling is proposed to describe the stochastic behavior of software fault-detection processes, of which the failure rate is not monotonic. The fundamental idea is to apply the Marshall-Olkin distribution to the software fault-detection time distribution. The applicability of Marshall-Olkin distribution in software reliability modeling is studied. The data fitting abilities of the proposed NHPP-based software reliability model is compared with the existing typical ones through real software project data analysis.

In social websites, users acquire information from adjacent neighbors as well as distant users by seeking along hyperlinks, and therefore, information diffusions, also seen as processes of “user infection”, show both cascading and jumping routes in social networks. Currently, existing analysis suffers from the difficulty in distinguishing between the impacts of information seeking behaviors, i.e. random walks, and other factors leading to user infections. To this end, we present a mechanism to recognize and measure influences of random walks on information diffusions. Firstly, we propose the concept of information propagation structure (IPS), which is also a directed acyclic graph, to represent frequent information diffusion routes in social networks. In IPS, we represent “jumping routes” as virtual arcs and regard them as the traces of random walks. Secondly, we design a frequent IPS mining algorithm (FIPS). By considering descendant node infections as a consequence of ancestor node infections in IPS, we can use a Bayesian network to model each IPS, and learn parameters based on the records of information diffusions passing through the IPS. Finally, we present a quantitative description method of random walks influence, the method is based on Bayesian probabilistic inferring in IPS, which is used to determine the ancestors, whose infection causes the infection of target users. We also employ betweenness centralities of arcs to evaluate contributions of random walks to certain infections. Experiments are carried out with real datasets and simulations. The results show random walks are influential in early and steady phases of information diffusions. They help diffusions pass through some topology limitations in social networks.

A novel high common-mode (CM) suppression wideband balanced passband filter (BPF) is proposed using the stub centrally loaded slotline resonators (SCLSR) which have two resonant frequencies (odd- and even-modes) in the desired passband. The odd-mode resonant frequency of the slotline SCLSR can be flexibly controlled by the stub, whereas the even-mode one is fixed. Meanwhile, a transmission zero near the odd-mode resonant frequency can be generated due to the main path signal counteraction. First, the wideband single-ended BPF and corresponding balanced BPF are designed based on the slotline SCLSR with the parallel coupled microstrip line input/output (I/O). Ultra wideband high CM suppression that can be achieved for the slotline resonator structure has no resonant mode under CM excitation. Furthermore, by folding the parallel coupled microstrip line I/O, the source-load coupling is effectively decoupled to improve the CM suppression within the passband. The high suppression wideband balanced BPF is fabricated and measured, respectively. Good agreement between simulation and measurement results is obtained.

In this paper, we study a distributed time-reversal space-time block coded single-carrier (D-TR-STBC-SC) system for amplify-and-forward (AF) half-duplex relaying in frequency-selective Rayleigh fading channels. Under the imperfect channel estimation condition, we analyze the mean-square-error (MSE) performance of the optimal and channel-mismatched frequency domain minimum MSE (FD-MMSE) and least square (LS) equalization. Our analysis results show that, unlike the point-to-point communications, the channel-mismatched FD-MMSE equalization of D-TR-STBC-SC relaying network leads to the ceiling effect that the MSE increases as the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of relay-to-destination link increases. Decomposing the MSE, it is found that the primary cause of the ceiling effect is the source-to-destination link in the first time-slot, which makes the covariance matrix of noise vector ill-conditioned. In order to resolve the channel-mismatching problems in the equalization process, we develop optimum relay power control strategies by considering practical channel estimations, i.e., training-based LS and linear minimum MSE (LMMSE) channel estimations. It is shown that the optimum power control resolves the trade-off between MSE performance and relay power consumption, and improves the robustness against the channel-mismatching. Finally, we introduce a performance evaluation to demonstrate the performance of channel equalization combined with the proposed power controls in D-TR-STBC-SC relaying network.

Instrumental variable (IV) filters designed for range sidelobe suppression in multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) radar suffer from Doppler mismatch. This mismatch causes losses in peak response and increases sidelobe levels, which affect the performance of MIMO radar. In this paper, a novel method using the component-code processing prior to the IV filter design for MIMO radar is proposed. It not only compensates for the Doppler effects in the design of IV filter, but also offers more virtual sensors resulting in narrower beams with lower sidelobes. Simulation results are presented to verify the effectiveness of the method.

Association rule mining is a powerful data mining tool, and it can be used to discover unknown patterns from large volumes of data. However, people often have to face the risk of disclosing sensitive information when data is shared with different organizations. The association rule mining techniques may be improperly used to find sensitive patterns which the owner is unwilling to disclose. One of the great challenges in association rule mining is how to protect the confidentiality of sensitive patterns when data is released. Association rule hiding refers to sanitize a database so that certain sensitive association rules cannot be mined out in the released database. In this study, we proposed a new method which hides sensitive rules by removing some items in a database to reduce the support or confidence levels of sensitive rules below specified thresholds. Based on the information of positive border rules and negative border rules contained in transactions, the proposed method chooses suitable candidates for modification aimed at reducing the side effects and the data distortion degree. Comparative experiments on real datasets and synthetic datasets demonstrate that the proposed method can hide sensitive rules with much fewer side effects and database modifications.

This paper proposes a voice activity detection (VAD) algorithm based on an energy related feature of the frequency modulation of harmonics. A multi-resolution spectro-temporal analysis framework, which was developed to extract texture features of the audio signal from its Fourier spectrogram, is used to extract frequency modulation features of the speech signal. The proposed algorithm labels the voice active segments of the speech signal by comparing the energy related feature of the frequency modulation of harmonics with a threshold. Then, the proposed VAD is implemented on one of Texas Instruments (TI) digital signal processor (DSP) platforms for real-time operation. Simulations conducted on the DSP platform demonstrate the proposed VAD performs significantly better than three standard VADs, ITU-T G.729B, ETSI AMR1 and AMR2, in non-stationary noise in terms of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the recognition rates from a practical distributed speech recognition (DSR) system.

This letter introduces an Energy-Aware LED Light System (EA-LLS) that provides adequate illumination to users according to the analysis of the sun's position, the user's movement, and various environmental factors, without sun illumination detection sensors. This letter presents research using algorithms and scenarios. We propose an EA-LLS that offers not only On/Off and dimming control, but dimming control through daylight, space, and user behavior analysis.

Most of the current voice conversion methods are conducted based on parallel speech, which is not easily obtained in practice. In this letter, a novel iterative speaker model alignment (ISMA) method is proposed to address this problem. First, the source and target speaker models are each trained from the background model by adopting maximum a posteriori (MAP) algorithm. Then, a novel ISMA method is presented for alignment and transformation of spectral features. Finally, the proposed ISMA approach is further combined with a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) to improve the conversion performance. A series of objective and subjective experiments are carried out on CMU ARCTIC dataset, and the results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art approach.

Sparse Matrix-Vector Multiplication (SpMxV) is widely used in many high-performance computing applications, including information retrieval, medical imaging, and economic modeling. To eliminate the overhead of zero padding in SpMxV, prior works have focused on partitioning a sparse matrix into row vectors sets (RVS's) or sub-matrices. However, performance was still degraded due to the sparsity pattern of a sparse matrix. In this letter, we propose a heuristics, called recursive merging, which uses a greedy approach to recursively merge those row vectors of nonzeros in a matrix into the RVS's, such that each set included is ensured a local optimal solution. For ten uneven benchmark matrices from the University of Florida Sparse Matrix Collection, our proposed partitioning algorithm is always identified as the method with the highest mean density (over 96%), but with the lowest average relative difference (below 0.07%) over computing powers.

This paper considers how to evaluate the resiliency for virtualized system with software rejuvenation. The software rejuvenation is a proactive technique to prevent the failure caused by aging phenomenon such as resource exhaustion. In particular, according to Gohsh et al. (2010), we compute a quantitative criterion to evaluate resiliency of system by using continuous-time Markov chains (CTMC). In addition, in order to convert general state-based models to CTMCs, we employ PH (phase-type) expansion technique. In numerical examples, we investigate the resiliency of virtualized system with software rejuvenation under two different rejuvenation policies.

A gold coated carbon nanotubes composite was used as a contact material in Micro-Electrical-Mechanical-System (MEMS) switches. The switching contact was tested under typical conditions of MEMS relay applications: load voltage of 4 V, contact force of 1 mN, and load current varied between 20-200 mA. This paper focuses on the wear process over switching lifetime, and the dependence of the wear area on the current is discussed. It was shown that the contact was going to fail when the wear area approached the whole contact area, at which point the contact resistance increased sharply to three times the nominal resistance.

In this paper, a new approach is proposed for extracting the spatio-temporal patterns from a location-based social networking system (SNS) such as Foursquare. The proposed approach consists of the following procedures. First, the spatio-temporal behaviors of users in SNS are approximated as a probabilistic distribution by using a diffusion-type formula. Since the SNS datasets generally consist of sparse check-in's of users at some time points and locations, it is difficult to investigate the spatio-temporal patterns on a wide range of time and space scales. The proposed method can estimate such wide range patterns by smoothing the sparse datasets by a diffusion-type formula. It is crucial in this method to estimate robustly the scale parameter by giving a prior generative model on check-in's of users. The robust estimation enables the method to extract appropriate patterns even in small local areas. Next, the covariance matrix among the time points is calculated from the estimated distribution. Then, the principal eigenfunctions are approximately extracted as the spatio-temporal patterns by principal component analysis (PCA). The distribution is a mixture of various patterns, some of which are regular ones with a periodic cycle and some of which are irregular ones corresponding to transient events. Though it is generally difficult to separate such complicated mixtures, the experiments on an actual Foursquare dataset showed that the proposed method can extract many plausible and interesting spatio-temporal patterns.

Cu-Mo alloy carries forward not only high electrical conductivity and high thermal conductivity from Cu but also high hardness from Mo, which makes it a promising potential application in electrical contact fields. In this paper, arc characteristic and erosion characteristic of Cu-Mo contacts are studied with a bridge-type contact high speed break mechanism on DC270 V/200 A load condition. And in each experiment group, 2500 times break operations are carried out. During every break operation, a high-speed AD card is used to record voltage and current signal of the arc, a high-speed camera is applied to record arcing process, and the temperature of contacts and arc are acquired by thermocouple and spectrometer, respectively. The mass and contact resistance of contacts are measured before and after every group experiment. Besides, the photograph of contact surface is taken by SEM to help analyze the erosion characteristic. The comparison between Cu-Mo contacts and Cu contacts indicates that although Cu contacts have a better electrical conductivity and thermal conductivity, Cu-Mo contacts can decrease the temperature of arc to prevent thermal breakdown, and they are also harder to be ablated and have a longer life span.

A new algorithm for separating mass spectra into individual substances for explosives detection is proposed. In the field of mass spectrometry, separation methods, such as principal-component analysis (PCA) and independent-component analysis (ICA), are widely used. All components, however, have no negative values, and the orthogonality condition imposed on components also does not necessarily hold in the case of mass spectra. Because these methods allow negative values and PCA imposes an orthogonality condition, they are not suitable for separation of mass spectra. The proposed algorithm is based on probabilistic latent-component analysis (PLCA). PLCA is a statistical formulation of non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) using KL divergence. Because PLCA imposes the constraint of non-negativity but not orthogonality, the algorithm is effective for separating components of mass spectra. In addition, to estimate the components more accurately, a sparsity constraint is applied to PLCA for explosives detection. The main contribution is industrial application of the algorithm into an explosives-detection system. Results of an experimental evaluation of the algorithm with data obtained in a real railway station demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms PCA and ICA. Also, results of calculation time demonstrate that the algorithm can work in real time.

The theoretically minimum length of a signal for fundamental frequency estimation in a noisy environment is discussed. Assuming that the noise is additive white Gaussian, it is known that a Cramér-Rao lower bound (CRLB) is given by the length and other parameters of the signal. In this paper, we define the minimum length as the length whose CRLB is less than or equal to the specific variance for any parameters of the signal. The specific variance is allowable variance of the estimate within an application of fundamental frequency estimation. By reformulating the CRLB with respect to the initial phase of the signal, the algorithms for determining the minimum length are proposed. In addition, we develop the methods of deciding the specific variance for general fundamental frequency estimation and pitch estimation. Simulation results in terms of both the fundamental frequency estimation and the pitch estimation show the validity of our approach.

We investigate non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) with a successive interference canceller (SIC) in the cellular multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) downlink for systems beyond LTE-Advanced. Taking into account the overhead for the downlink reference signaling for channel estimation at the user terminal in the case of non-orthogonal multiuser multiplexing and the applicability of the SIC receiver in the MIMO downlink, we propose intra-beam superposition coding of a multiuser signal at the transmitter and the spatial filtering of inter-beam interference followed by the intra-beam SIC at the user terminal receiver. The intra-beam SIC cancels out the inter-user interference within a beam. Regarding the transmitter beamforming (precoding), in general, any kind of beamforming matrix determination criteria can be applied to the proposed NOMA method. In the paper, we assume open loop-type random beamforming, which is very efficient in terms of the amount of feedback information from the user terminal. Furthermore, we employ a weighted proportional fair (PF)-based resource (beam of each frequency block and power) allocation for the proposed method. Simulation results show that the proposed NOMA method using the intra-beam superposition coding and SIC simultaneously achieves better sum and cell-edge user throughput compared to orthogonal multiple access (OMA), which is widely used in 3.9 and 4G mobile communication systems.

A signal-model-based SAR image formation algorithm is proposed in this paper. A model is used to describe the received signal, and each scatterer can be characterized by a set of its parameters. Two parameter estimation methods via atomic decomposition are presented: (1) applying 1-D matching pursuit to azimuthal projection data; (2) applying 2-D matching pursuit to raw data. The estimated parameters are mapped to form a SAR image, and the mapping procedure can be implemented under application guidelines. This algorithm requires no prior information about the relative motion between the platform and the target. The Cramer-Rao bounds of parameter estimation are derived, and the root mean square errors of the estimates are close to the bounds. Experimental results are given to validate the algorithm and indicate its potential applications.